Tropical Storm Cristobal will make landfall Sunday

Tropical Storm Cristobal will make landfall today across the Louisiana coast bringing heavy rain, damaging winds, storm surge, and tornadoes to the Gulf Coast.

Posted: Jun 7, 2020 10:59 AM
Updated: Jun 7, 2020 12:30 PM


The latest forecast track has Tropical Storm Cristobal -- the third named storm of what is expected to be an active hurricane season -- making landfall sometime Sunday afternoon or early evening.

Tropical Storm Cristobal currently has sustained winds of 50 mph as it continues to approach the Gulf Coast. Cristobal is expected to maintain tropical storm strength through landfall later on Sunday.

Track Tropical Storm Cristobal here >>>

'The earliest calendar year landfalling named storm in Louisiana on record (since 1851) is Tropical Storm Arlene on May 30, 1959,' Phil Klotzbach, a meteorologist at CSU, said on Twitter. 'The 2nd earliest landfalling named storms in LA are unnamed tropical storms in 1912 & 1956 on June 13.'

Which means, according to Klotzbach, Cristobal will be the the second earliest named storm to make landfall in Louisiana since records have been kept.

As for Cristobal's landfall location, almost all models are in alignment and expect that point to fall somewhere between Marsh Island to Slidell, Louisiana. But this does not mean that locations outside this area need not pay attention. Tropical storm warnings are posted for much of the Louisiana coastline, Mississippi, Alabama and portions of the Florida panhandle.

'Do NOT focus on the center as impacts will occur outside of the cone, especially east of the center,' the National Weather Service in Mobile said on their website. 'Heavy rainfall of 4-6' with higher amounts up to 10' possible for coastal Alabama and southeast Mississippi.'

Flooding will be the biggest concern

Regardless of where the storm makes landfall, impacts will be felt hundreds of miles away. Neighboring states to the east such as Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, even the Carolinas will each pick up several inches of rain in a short period of time which could trigger flash flooding.

Widespread rainfall along the coast will likely be in the 5-10 inch range, with some areas picking up at least a foot total. These numbers alone would be impressive and cause flooding, but the problem for some of these states is that they have been dealing with excessive rains for the past month, so the ground is already saturated. This will exacerbate the flooding concern for states like Louisiana, Arkansas, and Florida, which have already received at least 8-10 inches in just the last 30 days.

Once the storm makes landfall it will continue to progress northward into states including Iowa and Wisconsin that rarely see tropical systems in their backyard. While the storm will significantly weaken once it makes it that far north, it will still be able to produce several inches of rain for cities like Madison and Oshkosh, Wisconsin, as well as Cedar Rapids and Dubuque, Iowa.

In addition to most Guif Coast states, Arkansas and Missouri are also under flood watches in preparation for heavy rainfall to those states in the next 72 hours.

Tornadoes likely along the Gulf Coast

Another concern is the potential for severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a 'slight risk' for the coastal regions of Louisiana and Mississippi. A 'marginal risk' has also been issued and encompasses the slight risk in addition to portions of coastal Alabama and the Florida panhandle.

'Tropical storms like Cristobal can still be prolific tornado producers, especially when making landfall on the Gulf Coast,' said CNN meteorologist Brandon Miller. 'Landfalling tropical systems from the Gulf of Mexico produce more tornadoes than their counterparts making landfall along the Atlantic coast, largely because the right-front quadrant (where most tornadoes are found) is located completely onshore.'

The first Tornado Watch of the day was issued around 9 a.m. CT Sunday, which includes the coastal regions of Mississippi and Alabama and is valid until 5 p.m.

In Florida Saturday there were seven tornado reports, including one that hit near downtown Orlando. At least three homes were significantly impacted by storm activity, according to a city spokesperson.

For a time, SeaWorld and Universal Studios were under a tornado warning and a funnel cloud was sighted.

New York Coronavirus Cases

County data is updated nightly.

Cases: 2110756

Reported Deaths: 53589
CountyCasesDeaths
Kings28067010460
Queens2773899962
Suffolk2011123400
Nassau1836973175
Bronx1836016585
New York1383374503
Westchester1296922291
Erie895951808
Richmond750081841
Monroe690121110
Orange48326843
Rockland46952963
Onondaga38954677
Dutchess29475445
Albany24703356
Oneida22632514
Niagara20041374
Broome18626366
Saratoga15376168
Ulster13912257
Schenectady13207205
Rensselaer11229142
Putnam1061692
Chautauqua8956145
Chemung7769136
Oswego762492
Ontario740693
Steuben6955145
Sullivan667476
St. Lawrence664297
Cayuga633892
Jefferson614968
Wayne578370
Cattaraugus572291
Genesee5436124
Herkimer5190109
Clinton483633
Madison456489
Livingston452360
Fulton442391
Tompkins434952
Montgomery4254127
Columbia4065104
Cortland392662
Tioga383063
Warren365957
Wyoming358353
Allegany355787
Chenango350376
Otsego346347
Greene340379
Washington316255
Orleans312083
Lewis280836
Franklin256312
Delaware238538
Seneca201156
Schoharie169217
Essex159326
Yates117926
Schuyler108014
Hamilton3132
Unassigned10619
Out of NY0250
Utica
Partly Cloudy
78° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 46°
Feels Like: 79°
Oneonta
Partly Cloudy
75° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 46°
Feels Like: 75°
Herkimer
Partly Cloudy
78° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 48°
Feels Like: 79°
Old Forge
Partly Cloudy
78° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 46°
Feels Like: 79°
WKTV Radar
WKTV Temperatures
WKTV Severe Weather
Senior Send-Off brought to you by Herkimer College
18 Facets of Summer Photo Contest brought to you by Herkimer Diamond Mines
Looking for work or looking to hire? Check out the WKTV Job Fair!
Alivana Ready for Summer Giveaway
Saluting Those Who Are Proud 2 Serve