So far, it's been a pretty quiet start to late fall. October's record warmth was followed by much more seasonable temperatures in November. The month finished out slightly below average. Snowfall wasn't impressive. We had two measurable snow events in the Mohawk Valley in the month of November, bringing the season snowfall for Utica to 4.0". This is several inches behind our seasonal average for this point in the season.
December 1st is considered the start of meteorological winter. In the world of weather, seasons are broken down a bit differently based on temperature and not the position of the sun. December, January, and February are the coldest months of the year, and are therefore considered winter. Calendar winter, the standard outside of the weather community, begins on December 21st at 11:38am. This is also the darkest day of the year.
The weather will not feel like early winter (or late fall if you prefer) in the short term. High pressure builds in from the west and brings seasonably mild weather to our region. Mostly cloudy skies are expected on Saturday and Sunday, with highs in the 40s. The weather warms up on Monday and Tuesday, with highs in the upper 40s to near 50!
The long range pattern does show a significant pattern shift beginning on Wednesday. Much colder air develops to the west and will settle into the region. Temperatures will be in the 30s from Wednesday going forward, with the opportunity for lake effect snow showers heading into next weekend.