Tropical Storm Fay has developed off the east coast and is forecasted to move northward into the Northeast today and tonight. This storm will weaken as it moves northward but will bring rain into parts of Central New York tonight.
Hazy, hot and humid conditions continue today, with increase in clouds this evening. Temperatures will once again approach 90 degrees. Rain develops across the Southern Valleys this evening, moving northward during the overnight. By this time, the tropical storm will weaken into a low pressure system similar to a Nor'easter. Just like in the winter, a slight wobble in the track of this storm will change rainfall amounts.
But as of Friday morning, the heaviest rainfall looks to be south and east of Utica. Areas to the north and west will see very little rain. This is unfortunate, as this is the area that needs the rain the most.
With the rain falling heavy at times in an area that saw slow moving thunderstorms on Wednesday, flash flooding is possible in flood prone areas in Otsego County. While there is no flash flood watch for most of Central New York, it is still possible throughout the overnight, especially east and south.
While this rain is coming from a tropical storm, winds will NOT be an issue for today, tonight or Saturday. Winds for today will be between 5-15mph, diminishing during the overnight.
Steady rain does move out of the area Saturday morning, with most of Saturday featuring partly to mostly cloudy skies. Pop up showers and thunderstorms develop late Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening.