Thursday's StormTracker 2 alert day was very active in Central New York, with 1-3" of rainfall, flash flooding, and a tornado touchdown in Westernville. The next Stormtracker 2 alert day is Monday, for the possibility of flooding. We're heading into an active period of weather next week, and there are multiple days we'll be watching closely.
Thankfully, a nice and much needed break from the rain is expected this weekend. Sunshine and Saturday, with a noticable drop in humidity. Seasonably warm, with highs near 80. Sunday looks pleasant, with increasing clouds and highs in the upper 70s. Rain and a few thunderstorms are expected to develop Sunday night into Monday. Widespread rain is in the forecast, with accumulations between 1-2".
While this amount may not seem high, the rainfall rates look high, with most of it falling in only a few hours. This rainfall may cause additional problems in our area related to flooding. The water table is much higher now thanks to the recent heavy rainfall, and we're thinking it won't take much to create additional problems. The most likely locations would include flood prone areas.
Rain Sunday night comes from a warm front, a push of warmer and more humid air. This warm, humid air is expected to sit over Central New York all next week, with weak weather disturbances moving through and sparking off showers and thunderstorms. In this active pattern, there may be more heavy downpours from time to time. It's not expected to rain all the time and every single day in every location, but there will be more days with rain compared to without for most areas.