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National pollster, John Zogby, discusses election polls

National pollster, John Zogby of New Hartford conducted a nationwide, online survey before election day that had the presidential race much closer than many other pollsters.

Posted: Nov 5, 2020 10:56 PM
Updated: Nov 5, 2020 11:11 PM

National pollster, John Zogby of New Hartford conducted a nationwide, online survey before election day that had the presidential race much closer than many other pollsters.

Many pollsters thought this was going to be a double digit percentage point win for Joe Biden.

"This year, they blew it, the major polls, network polls, university polls," Zogby said. "Essentially what it was, was they had too many democrats in their sample and not enough republicans.”

Zogby's poll showed pretty even support for the two candidates.

“Let’s make no mistake about it, this was really always a close race, it was competitive," Zogby said. "We knew very early that 90 plus democrats were going to support Biden, and 90 plus republicans were going to vote for Trump, and so the battle ground was really among independents and some key groups that would fluctuate back and forth. Never did we ever see a double digit race and that’s why I always felt comfortable saying this race is going to be closer and I think our polls ultimately reflected that."

Zogby's final analysis was a 5.8% lead for Biden.

He says when all is said and done, he thinks Biden will probably have a margin of victory by about 3 percentage points.

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