As we talked about last week on the blog, the weather patterns have changed abruptly in the latter half of winter. Temperatures have averaged significantly above average over the past two weeks, and the warmest air is on the way this week.

Here are the records that are in jeopardy:

Feb 20th highest temperature 59° (1930)
Feb 21st highest temperature 61° (1953)

The impact of this warm up will be to obliterate the snow pack in and south of the Mohawk Valley. Where the snow pack does survive, we do expect a significant meltdown. This melting snow will increase our risk for flooding across the region. Here's a look at which areas we're particularly watching over the next few days:

The high risk areas are under a flood watch by the National Weather Service.  In addition to heavy snow melt, the north country will also experience a significant amount of rainfall:

This warm spell ends Wednesday afternoon.  A cold front will slice through the region and bring cooler air to the region.  Temperatures will be back in the 40s for the remainder of the week, with no sign of any arctic air returning anytime soon.