Can you believe the month of November is already half over? It's aleady turning out to be a very different month than the first two of fall, with average temperatures much closer to normal - in fact a bit below average as of the 15th (-1.8°).
A cold front is on the way for Wednesday night, bringing a round of widespread rain to the region. The rain may start out as snow in the mountains of the Adirondacks, but most of it falls as rain in our region. A rainy Thursday is expected, with lake enhanced rain showers expected in the wake of this front. Breezy and cool, with temperatures in the 40s.
Colder air builds in Thursday night, with rain changing to snow, first in the hilltops and then in the lower elevations. By dark Thursday, most areas will be seeing snow. The snow continues Thursday night into early Friday, with a light accumulation expected across the region. An inch or two is possible along the hilltops:
A break in the weather is expected Friday, with the next storm system in que for Saturday. Our forecasting models as of Wednesday are still inconsistent with the path and intensity of this storm, but the general idea for CNY is wind and rain on Saturday, followed by rain changing to snow on Sunday. It will be cold enough for lake effect snow in the region on Sunday, with accumulations possible through early Monday. At this point, it's still too early to determine how much snow will fall, but this isn't expected to be a major event for our local area. We'll keep you posted.