Just when you thought winter might be settling in for good, we have another warm up on the way. This one is going to play out differently than the previous one. The most significant difference is how it begins.
A surge of warm weather heads in our direction starting late Thursday. Temperatures ahead of the warm air aren't expected to climb much above freezing. As the warm air arrives, it's a classic setup for sleet and freezing rain. This takes place very early Friday morning (midnight - 4am).
The biggest concern is the accumulation of freezing rain, which doesn't take much to cause traffic accidents. Remember, freezing rain is when rain freezes on the ground. Untreated surfaces become extremely slippery. This is most likely to happen east and north of Utica - especailly in the Eastern Mohawk Valley and Adriondacks.
As warm air continues to pour in, temperatures will climb above freezing by Friday morning. This puts an end to any additional icing. In fact, if the warmth arrives quickly enough, most of Friday morning's commute will be wet and not icy for most of the area. We will keep you posted.